COVID-19 next stop, Mankind wins India
Warning of the third wave
At one time, the number of 80,000 confirmed cases and
3,000 deaths in China shocked the world.
Looking at the figures in Europe and the United States
now, we can’t help but feel that the situation has changed so rapidly that they
are changing rapidly.
With the lesson of the accidental fall of the United States,
we should really be wary of the next eye of the storm: India.
If China’s epidemic is the first wave and European and
American countries are the second wave, India is likely to detonate the third
wave.
We can very much agree with Mike Ryan, Director of the World
Health Organization (WHO) Emergency Plan:
Although the United States has become the new
"epicenter" of the new crown epidemic, in a sense, whether mankind
can win a decisive victory against the new crown epidemic will largely depend
on India's ability to control the virus in the future.
Why in India Coronavirus cases situation such?
There are good reasons to be wary of the fall of India:
Time: In addition to China, India is the first 15 countries
with confirmed cases.
Scale: India has a land area of 2.98 million square
kilometers, which is less than 1/3 of China's, but its population in 2019 is as
high as 1.324 billion, which is almost tied to China's in the world.
Density: There are still millions of Indians living in
slums, and dozens of family members often share several rooms.
Capability: The infrastructure of India and China is worlds apart. According to data from the World Bank, India’s health care expenditure only accounts for 1.28% of GDP, with an average of 8 doctors per 10,000 people, far below 41 in Italy and 71 in South Korea.
On average, a
public hospital in India has to handle more than 55,000 people. The Indian
Railway Department announced that it intends to convert some train cars into
isolation wards to treat patients with new coronary pneumonia.
Seven villagers from Prulia District, West Bengal, India
recently returned to their hometown. The local doctor asked to self-isolate for
14 days. However, none of these 7 people have their own separate rooms, so they
can only isolate themselves on the tree.
Aastha Goal, 23, who returned from Spain during the
COVID-19 epidemic, landed in India and was taken to a drug rehabilitation
center for 72 hours:
I want to be quarantined, but my experience in India is
very shocking. They only checked our temperature. The bed was so dirty that an
older lady had to sleep on the grass. Because the toilet was dirty, I couldn't
use it, and the staff told us that this is not Spain or Canada.
Concept: On April 1, Indore, Madhya Pradesh, India, medical
staff tried to detect a resident who had been in contact with a COVID-19
patient, but was stoned and violently attacked by local people. Some of them
were armed with sticks. Medical staff rescued, and two female doctors were
injured.
Uttar Pradesh on Coronavirus
In a public speech by the Chief Minister of Uttar Pradesh,
India, the coronavirus can be eliminated through yoga. A BJP member of the
Legislative Assembly of Assam stated that cow urine can treat the virus.
Black hole: Like the United States more than a month ago, India’s fatal problem is that the detection volume is too low. This is a terrible situation. According to the Indian Medical Research Council, a total of 66,000 tests have been conducted. In contrast, South Korea, which has a population of only 50 million, has accumulated 300,000 tests.
As of March 17, South Korea had more than 5,500 tests per million people, Italy had 2,500 tests, and India had only 10 tests. On the same day that the World Health Organization insisted on "testing, testing, testing", Lav Agrawal, the joint secretary of the Ministry of Health and Family Welfare of India, said: "Tests will only be conducted in accordance with the guidelines. We don't want to cause any unnecessary panic."
According to Midland The
agency reported that Indian laboratories only test 90 samples a day, despite
the ability to test 8,000 people a day.
Although the number of confirmed cases of new coronary
pneumonia in India reached 4288 as of April 5, this is probably a thousand
miles away from the real situation:
• T. Jacob John, former head of the Virology Advanced
Research Center of the Medical Research Council of India: The number of
infected people in India may be as much as 10% of the total population of the
country-equivalent to 130 million people.
• A study by the University of Michigan predicts that by
mid-May, there may be 915,000 people in India infected with the new crown
virus.
Today, fragile India may be detonated by three bombs.
The first depth bomb
Tharavi Slums in Mumbai, India (DHARAVI) is famous all
over the world for the 2008 Oscar-winning blockbuster "Slumdog
Millionaires". Since the opening of the port in 1896, this place has been
known as the source of the plague in Mumbai. Polio, cholera, typhoid fever,
leprosy, and tuberculosis have long been common in the local area.
Talavi, known as the "World Slum Museum", is the
largest slum in Asia. More than 1 million people live here. The population
density reaches an incredible 280,000 people per square kilometer: 20,000
people per square kilometer in central Tokyo; Pudong, Shanghai 15,000 people;
New York 10,000 people. In Tarawi, more than 1 million people live in 86,000
simple houses. There is one toilet for every 1,440 people, and 70% of the
toilets have no water.
On April 1st, April Fool's Day, a depth bomb blows up the world:
• The Tarawi slum reported a confirmed case of new coronary
pneumonia for the first time, and the patient died during the transfer process
due to a worsening condition that night.
Second bomb
The concentrated outbreak of the epidemic in South Korea
originated from the activities of a certain church. India also repeats its
tragedy.
A religious gathering was held at the New Delhi mosque in
March, bringing together people from all over India and overseas. So far, 647
cases are directly related to this gathering.
The frightening thing is that about 9,000 people who
participated in this gathering are still missing. Delhi Chief Minister Arvind
Kejriwal said:
We were told that after leaving the mosque, many people
went all over the country. It is terrifying to think about how many people
might be affected by this incident.
Third bomb
Prime Minister Modi likes to "zoom in". The last
big move was the sudden announcement in 2016 to terminate the circulation of
two large denominations of 1000 rupees and 500 rupiah from November 9th.
India announced a nationwide lockdown for 21 days starting at
midnight on March 24, with only 4 hours’ notice: all non-essential business
activities across the country will be suspended, schools and workers will be
suspended, and those who violate the regulations will face high fines and up to
2 Years of imprisonment.
This "big move" is obviously based on Chinese
experience. However, each country has its own special national conditions,
which must be "recalculated" in advance, otherwise the consequences
will be serious.
The social consequences of Modi’s 21-day quarantine order
have also greatly exceeded Modi’s expectations.
• As India has 139 million farmers working in cities, tens
of millions of migrant workers are forced to travel long distances home due to
lack of food, shelter or savings. The returnees crowded together like sardines,
like a disaster movie, which is heartbreaking. It should be noted that the two
major factors for the spread of the virus are close contact with people and
careless cleaning.
The front page of India Express reads:
India is walking home.
Such a huge population movement is not the first time in
Indian history. During the partition of India and Pakistan in 1947, 15 million
people were displaced. In the 1896 plague, half of Mumbai’s population fled.
Rajneesh, a 26-year-old auto worker, took four days to walk 250 kilometers back
to the village. He told reporters:
Before we are knocked down by the new crown virus, we will
die on foot.
Modi should have realized the seriousness of the problem:
Implementing a blockade is a difficult decision, but I have
no choice. I apologize for the difficulties caused to everyone, especially the
poor. I know that many people are angry, please forgive me.
On February 24, Trump visited India
Delhi Chief Minister Arvind Kejriwal begged the workers
not to leave the capital. The government announced that it would pay their rent
and announced the opening of 568 food distribution centers in Delhi.
On March 29, the Indian authorities began to mobilize
buses to assist farmers in returning to their hometowns, at the same time
intercepting refugees and disinfecting them on the spot, and also required the
establishment of 21,000 isolation camps in various places. But I am afraid that
it has been a dead end, and the effect is limited.
The magical country
India has always been a country full of magic. E.g:
• There are about 2000 languages in India, 55 of which
have their own writing and literature. Among them, 19 well-established
languages are designated as official languages of India. The official
language of India is Hindi, but it is spoken by only 30% of the population.
• It was not until 2018 that India abolished a colonial
"crime of adultery", marking that this 158-year-old law has
officially become history. The "Adultery Law" was questioned and
challenged as early as the 1950s. However, in decades of intense debate, the
Supreme Court of India has dismissed relevant lawsuits three times.
India has always been entangled by various diseases. There
is a sharp contrast between India in the minds of Indians and India in the eyes
of foreigners. André, an old French man living in India, said:
In Europe, you feel completely lost. In the West, you
belong to society and you can only follow a fixed pattern step by step. You
should have a house, a job, and your entire life should be centered on money.
Unlike India, India is a unique country. Without India, the world would be so
poor that nothing but material remains.
India's current per capita GDP is only 1/4 of China's. But
if you look back at history, you will be surprised. At the beginning of reform
and opening up in 1978, China's per capita GDP (US$156) was lower than that of
India (US$205). It was not until 1991 that China surpassed India for the first
time. From then on, the dragon became farther and farther away.
Comparison of GDP
per capita between China
and India
After Modi became prime minister, he ruled the country
with an iron fist, and India finally began to grow decently. However, the
growth that finally started, seems to die because of the plague of the century.
Mahatma Gandhi has always believed that population is the greatest disaster in India. He said:
We are just giving birth to slaves and sick husbands.
India is a large agricultural country with a rural
population accounting for 72% of the total population. In a letter to Nehru,
Gandhi wrote:
I am convinced that if India wants real freedom and the
world wants real freedom through India, then sooner or later everyone will
recognize the fact that people will live in villages instead of towns and in
shacks instead of palaces. People living in towns and palaces cannot get along
with each other. Their lives will be dark, with violence and lies.
Indian society believes in religion, advocates
spirituality, and is even full of superstition in some aspects. Nehru sighed:
Religion is inextricable in India. It not only harms our bodies, but also inhibits or even kills many ideas in our minds. Gandhi always mentioned God
-God told him to do this and that, and God even hinted at the date of his fast
-which was really irritating.
It is said that there are nearly 5.2 million ascetics and
beggars in India. Of course some of them are honest, but there is no doubt that
most of them are useless, they will only deceive others and live by the alms
they get without labor.
Hygiene habits are another major social problem in India.
Yu Qiuyu described the bathing of the Ganges River in "A Thousand Years A
Sigh":
The sky is not clear, the temperature is still low, and countless dark people are all soaked in the river. No one smiled, and no one was talking. Everyone soaked and drank without saying a word. There are a small number of middle-aged men and women squatting on the steps to brush their teeth. No one uses a toothbrush, half with fingers and half with branches.
After brushing, swallow the water, hold a few cups and drink it, and spit water
when brushing teeth with people from other countries exactly the opposite.
A policeman came and fiddled with an old man lying on the river bank. He was obviously dead. He died on the bank of the Ganges last night or this morning. No one pays attention to this scene, everyone has long been commonplace. Most people never enter the crematorium, as long as they have some money, they must go to the corpse pit by the river.
This corpse burning pit is close to the river surface and has become a part of the river bed. Ships of firewood are moored by the water, and corpses wrapped in colorful cloth are lined up on the side of the ship. The burning has not stopped, and the smell is pungent. Workers poured a spoonful of spiced grease on it, making the smell even more suffocating.
All this is not only visible to everyone, but also the most important sight on the banks of the Ganges. About ten meters away from the flames and smoke, there was half a dead cow floating, the cavity was outside, and the wild dogs were gnawing.
A few steps later, a row of men were brushing
their teeth and swallowing, taking mouthfuls after another. We are too fragile.
Seeing this, we all lie on the side of the boat and cannot stand, trying to
churn out everything in our stomachs.
• Indians believe that throwing ashes into the "Holy
River" Ganges can wash away the sins of the dead and allow the soul to
enter heaven.
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