Mankind wins India, COVID-19 next stop


COVID-19 next stop, Mankind wins India


  Warning of the third wave


   At one time, the number of 80,000 confirmed cases and 3,000 deaths in China shocked the world.


   Looking at the figures in Europe and the United States now, we can’t help but feel that the situation has changed so rapidly that they are changing rapidly.

   With the lesson of the accidental fall of the United States, we should really be wary of the next eye of the storm: India.


   If China’s epidemic is the first wave and European and American countries are the second wave, India is likely to detonate the third wave.

   We can very much agree with Mike Ryan, Director of the World Health Organization (WHO) Emergency Plan:


  Although the United States has become the new "epicenter" of the new crown epidemic, in a sense, whether mankind can win a decisive victory against the new crown epidemic will largely depend on India's ability to control the virus in the future.


  Why in India Coronavirus cases situation such?

   There are good reasons to be wary of the fall of India:


  Time: In addition to China, India is the first 15 countries with confirmed cases.


   Scale: India has a land area of ​​2.98 million square kilometers, which is less than 1/3 of China's, but its population in 2019 is as high as 1.324 billion, which is almost tied to China's in the world.


   Density: There are still millions of Indians living in slums, and dozens of family members often share several rooms.


   Capability: The infrastructure of India and China is worlds apart. According to data from the World Bank, India’s health care expenditure only accounts for 1.28% of GDP, with an average of 8 doctors per 10,000 people, far below 41 in Italy and 71 in South Korea. 

On average, a public hospital in India has to handle more than 55,000 people. The Indian Railway Department announced that it intends to convert some train cars into isolation wards to treat patients with new coronary pneumonia.


India and COVID-19

   Seven villagers from Prulia District, West Bengal, India recently returned to their hometown. The local doctor asked to self-isolate for 14 days. However, none of these 7 people have their own separate rooms, so they can only isolate themselves on the tree.


   Aastha Goal, 23, who returned from Spain during the COVID-19 epidemic, landed in India and was taken to a drug rehabilitation center for 72 hours:


   I want to be quarantined, but my experience in India is very shocking. They only checked our temperature. The bed was so dirty that an older lady had to sleep on the grass. Because the toilet was dirty, I couldn't use it, and the staff told us that this is not Spain or Canada.


Concept: On April 1, Indore, Madhya Pradesh, India, medical staff tried to detect a resident who had been in contact with a COVID-19 patient, but was stoned and violently attacked by local people. Some of them were armed with sticks. Medical staff rescued, and two female doctors were injured.


Uttar Pradesh on Coronavirus

  In a public speech by the Chief Minister of Uttar Pradesh, India, the coronavirus can be eliminated through yoga. A BJP member of the Legislative Assembly of Assam stated that cow urine can treat the virus.


  Black hole: Like the United States more than a month ago, India’s fatal problem is that the detection volume is too low. This is a terrible situation. According to the Indian Medical Research Council, a total of 66,000 tests have been conducted. In contrast, South Korea, which has a population of only 50 million, has accumulated 300,000 tests. 

As of March 17, South Korea had more than 5,500 tests per million people, Italy had 2,500 tests, and India had only 10 tests. On the same day that the World Health Organization insisted on "testing, testing, testing", Lav Agrawal, the joint secretary of the Ministry of Health and Family Welfare of India, said: "Tests will only be conducted in accordance with the guidelines. We don't want to cause any unnecessary panic." 

According to Midland The agency reported that Indian laboratories only test 90 samples a day, despite the ability to test 8,000 people a day.


  Although the number of confirmed cases of new coronary pneumonia in India reached 4288 as of April 5, this is probably a thousand miles away from the real situation:


  • T. Jacob John, former head of the Virology Advanced Research Center of the Medical Research Council of India: The number of infected people in India may be as much as 10% of the total population of the country-equivalent to 130 million people.


  • A study by the University of Michigan predicts that by mid-May, there may be 915,000 people in India infected with the new crown virus.


   Today, fragile India may be detonated by three bombs.


 The first depth bomb

   Tharavi Slums in Mumbai, India (DHARAVI) is famous all over the world for the 2008 Oscar-winning blockbuster "Slumdog Millionaires". Since the opening of the port in 1896, this place has been known as the source of the plague in Mumbai. Polio, cholera, typhoid fever, leprosy, and tuberculosis have long been common in the local area.

Talavi, known as the "World Slum Museum", is the largest slum in Asia. More than 1 million people live here. The population density reaches an incredible 280,000 people per square kilometer: 20,000 people per square kilometer in central Tokyo; Pudong, Shanghai 15,000 people; New York 10,000 people. In Tarawi, more than 1 million people live in 86,000 simple houses. There is one toilet for every 1,440 people, and 70% of the toilets have no water.


   On April 1st, April Fool's Day, a depth bomb blows up the world:

  • The Tarawi slum reported a confirmed case of new coronary pneumonia for the first time, and the patient died during the transfer process due to a worsening condition that night.



Second bomb

   The concentrated outbreak of the epidemic in South Korea originated from the activities of a certain church. India also repeats its tragedy.


   A religious gathering was held at the New Delhi mosque in March, bringing together people from all over India and overseas. So far, 647 cases are directly related to this gathering.


   The frightening thing is that about 9,000 people who participated in this gathering are still missing. Delhi Chief Minister Arvind Kejriwal said:

   We were told that after leaving the mosque, many people went all over the country. It is terrifying to think about how many people might be affected by this incident.


   Third bomb

   Prime Minister Modi likes to "zoom in". The last big move was the sudden announcement in 2016 to terminate the circulation of two large denominations of 1000 rupees and 500 rupiah from November 9th.


India announced a nationwide lockdown for 21 days starting at midnight on March 24, with only 4 hours’ notice: all non-essential business activities across the country will be suspended, schools and workers will be suspended, and those who violate the regulations will face high fines and up to 2 Years of imprisonment.


   This "big move" is obviously based on Chinese experience. However, each country has its own special national conditions, which must be "recalculated" in advance, otherwise the consequences will be serious.


   The social consequences of Modi’s 21-day quarantine order have also greatly exceeded Modi’s expectations.


  • As India has 139 million farmers working in cities, tens of millions of migrant workers are forced to travel long distances home due to lack of food, shelter or savings. The returnees crowded together like sardines, like a disaster movie, which is heartbreaking. It should be noted that the two major factors for the spread of the virus are close contact with people and careless cleaning.


   The front page of India Express reads:

   India is walking home.


   Such a huge population movement is not the first time in Indian history. During the partition of India and Pakistan in 1947, 15 million people were displaced. In the 1896 plague, half of Mumbai’s population fled. Rajneesh, a 26-year-old auto worker, took four days to walk 250 kilometers back to the village. He told reporters:


   Before we are knocked down by the new crown virus, we will die on foot.


   Modi should have realized the seriousness of the problem:

  Implementing a blockade is a difficult decision, but I have no choice. I apologize for the difficulties caused to everyone, especially the poor. I know that many people are angry, please forgive me.


  On February 24, Trump visited India

   Delhi Chief Minister Arvind Kejriwal begged the workers not to leave the capital. The government announced that it would pay their rent and announced the opening of 568 food distribution centers in Delhi.


   On March 29, the Indian authorities began to mobilize buses to assist farmers in returning to their hometowns, at the same time intercepting refugees and disinfecting them on the spot, and also required the establishment of 21,000 isolation camps in various places. But I am afraid that it has been a dead end, and the effect is limited.


  The magical country

   India has always been a country full of magic. E.g:


  • There are about 2000 languages ​​in India, 55 of which have their own writing and literature. Among them, 19 well-established languages ​​are designated as official languages ​​of India. The official language of India is Hindi, but it is spoken by only 30% of the population.


  • It was not until 2018 that India abolished a colonial "crime of adultery", marking that this 158-year-old law has officially become history. The "Adultery Law" was questioned and challenged as early as the 1950s. However, in decades of intense debate, the Supreme Court of India has dismissed relevant lawsuits three times.


   India has always been entangled by various diseases. There is a sharp contrast between India in the minds of Indians and India in the eyes of foreigners. André, an old French man living in India, said:


  In Europe, you feel completely lost. In the West, you belong to society and you can only follow a fixed pattern step by step. You should have a house, a job, and your entire life should be centered on money. Unlike India, India is a unique country. Without India, the world would be so poor that nothing but material remains.


  India's current per capita GDP is only 1/4 of China's. But if you look back at history, you will be surprised. At the beginning of reform and opening up in 1978, China's per capita GDP (US$156) was lower than that of India (US$205). It was not until 1991 that China surpassed India for the first time. From then on, the dragon became farther and farther away.


  Comparison of GDP per capita between China and India


   After Modi became prime minister, he ruled the country with an iron fist, and India finally began to grow decently. However, the growth that finally started, seems to die because of the plague of the century.


   Mahatma Gandhi has always believed that population is the greatest disaster in India. He said:

   We are just giving birth to slaves and sick husbands.


  India is a large agricultural country with a rural population accounting for 72% of the total population. In a letter to Nehru, Gandhi wrote:


   I am convinced that if India wants real freedom and the world wants real freedom through India, then sooner or later everyone will recognize the fact that people will live in villages instead of towns and in shacks instead of palaces. People living in towns and palaces cannot get along with each other. Their lives will be dark, with violence and lies.


  Indian society believes in religion, advocates spirituality, and is even full of superstition in some aspects. Nehru sighed:


   Religion is inextricable in India. It not only harms our bodies, but also inhibits or even kills many ideas in our minds. Gandhi always mentioned God

-God told him to do this and that, and God even hinted at the date of his fast

-which was really irritating.


   It is said that there are nearly 5.2 million ascetics and beggars in India. Of course some of them are honest, but there is no doubt that most of them are useless, they will only deceive others and live by the alms they get without labor.


   Hygiene habits are another major social problem in India. Yu Qiuyu described the bathing of the Ganges River in "A Thousand Years A Sigh":


   The sky is not clear, the temperature is still low, and countless dark people are all soaked in the river. No one smiled, and no one was talking. Everyone soaked and drank without saying a word. There are a small number of middle-aged men and women squatting on the steps to brush their teeth. No one uses a toothbrush, half with fingers and half with branches. 

After brushing, swallow the water, hold a few cups and drink it, and spit water when brushing teeth with people from other countries exactly the opposite.


   A policeman came and fiddled with an old man lying on the river bank. He was obviously dead. He died on the bank of the Ganges last night or this morning. No one pays attention to this scene, everyone has long been commonplace. Most people never enter the crematorium, as long as they have some money, they must go to the corpse pit by the river. 

This corpse burning pit is close to the river surface and has become a part of the river bed. Ships of firewood are moored by the water, and corpses wrapped in colorful cloth are lined up on the side of the ship. The burning has not stopped, and the smell is pungent. Workers poured a spoonful of spiced grease on it, making the smell even more suffocating. 

All this is not only visible to everyone, but also the most important sight on the banks of the Ganges. About ten meters away from the flames and smoke, there was half a dead cow floating, the cavity was outside, and the wild dogs were gnawing. 

A few steps later, a row of men were brushing their teeth and swallowing, taking mouthfuls after another. We are too fragile. Seeing this, we all lie on the side of the boat and cannot stand, trying to churn out everything in our stomachs.


  • Indians believe that throwing ashes into the "Holy River" Ganges can wash away the sins of the dead and allow the soul to enter heaven.




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